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| − | ,A while back on Seeking Alpha I promised readers the "low down" on fertilizer stocks (and some fertilizer MLPs too).2.0 million 2017 PossibleMidwestKoch Nitrogen 250-350,000 (?) Unknown ProbableFort Dodge, IARentech Nitrogen 65,000 End 2013 Very LikelyEast Dubuque, ILTotal planned N capacity additions: 6.4-7.0 million metric tons/annumA couple of notes on the table.Iowa Fertilizers, owned by Orascom, is benefiting from a $1.2 billion disaster relief state bond financing that actually was a result of the Midwest floods a couple of years ago.Nitrogen fertilizer margins were at record highs last year, and they have attracted a plethora of plant expansions and even new plants. | + | ,The company is already the subject of one lawsuit (in New Jersey) alleging fraudulent billing with respect to excessive urine testing.AAC has posted excellent numbers with revenues growing from $28 million in 2011 to $116 million in 2013, a CAGR of 102%.AAC discloses that its average stay is 26.In other words, AAC tests 6-12x more often than is necessary.This is significant because AAC derives between 20-25% of its revenue from drug testing.More importantly, this testing has an outsized effect on the bottom line, because of the massive margins it contributes.Blue Cross Blue Shield is AAC's second largest reimbursor, accounting for 13.1% of AAC's revenue. |
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| − | ,If you are diabetic, you may experience a diminished salivary flow and a sensation of burning mouth or tongue.Proper dental care and insulin control are necessary for diabetics to avoid gum disease.If your blood sugar is not under control, you should talk to your dentist about receiving proper dental care.It is important to be aware of your blood sugar levels to keep your teeth and gums strong.Protect your mouth and you can potentially protect the development of other systemic health issues related to your oral health.Basel Badawi and Dr.Chau Hoang, dentists Boston, MA, offer professional dental services to their patients in Boston.
| + | ,To address this, I again focus on public information.Hundreds of articles have been written on a significant national problem being experienced throughout China, air pollution.But unless you either visit one or more of China's air clogged cities yourself or you are an expert on air quality studies, one cannot appreciate the significance of the problem.To address this for investors, I provide the two best sources of publicly available information possible.First, Table 2 shows the nine cities previously noted above.As I began writing this article, I accessed Air Quality Index data and collected current readings. |
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| − | ,Today's valuation appears compelling assuming that McGraw-Hill returns to its long history of reliable and consistent earnings growth.If they do, our confidence is very high that their long record of dividend increases will continue as well.Past performance of the companies discussed may not continue and the companies may not achieve the earnings growth as predicted.The information in this document is believed to be accurate, but under no circumstances should a person act upon the information contained within.I think CAPE has a problem predicting returns (SPY,DIA,QQQ,CAPE) in periods that are marked by deflationary pressure and volatile earnings. | + | ,I have spoken to quite a few advisors who were very skeptical of the trade, applying traditional technical analysis.Be assured that no technical indicator could have predicted the magnitude of the move higher so far in September (a likely breakout).For one to identify momentum, momentum must first be observed.Fear over the Fed tapering is almost meaningless now given just how violently markets overreacted in fixed income and in emerging market stocks.That means both have significant potential should the Fed not aggressively pull back on bond buying.I suspect that the Fed may directly and explicitly acknowledge the yield spike that has happened, and talk down duration. |
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